第42卷第9期经济地理Vol.42.No.92022年9月ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHYSep.,2022中国农业生产碳汇效应与生产绩效的时空特征曹执令，黄飞，伍赛君(湖南工学院商学院，中国湖南衡阳421002)摘要：将农业碳汇与碳排放分别视为期望与非期望产出引入到农业生产绩效分析框架，以2007一2020年31个省（自治区、直辖市）面板数据为样本，运用碳计量等模型评估农业生产碳汇效应与农业生产绩效，并揭示其时空特征。研究结果表明：①我国净碳汇量均为正值，农业生态效应较好。②我国农业生产效率呈先减后增的波动变化趋势，总体虽逐渐改普，但增幅不明显，发展形势不容乐观：农业技术进步不断创新，增长效应良好：农业技术效率增长稳定，追赶效应强劲：内蒙古、广西的技术进步指数偏低，负向抵消了技术效率改进带来的追赶效应：其余地区是由技术进步引起的增长效应和技术效率引起的追赶效应共同促进。③农业生产空间联结格局稳定，但受距离衰减规律约束，东北与经济发达地区空间联系较强，而中西部地区联系出现脱节现象，上海、江苏和浙江成为增长极。④大量省域处于低效率一低福利区域，面临着满足人们基本发展需求与碳排放局限的双重挑战。关键词：低碳农业：农业碳汇：超效率SBM:绩效评估中图分类号：F727文献标志码：A文章编号：1000-8462(2022)09-0166-10D0I:10.15957/i.cnki.jjdl.2022.09.019Carbon Sink Measurement and Spatio-temporal Evolution ofAgriculture Production in ChinaCAO Zhilin,HUANG Fei,WU SaijunBusiness School,Hunan Institute of Technology,Hengyang 421002,Hunan,China)Abstract:Agriculture is not only an important source of greenhouse gas emissions,but also a huge carbon sink systemBased on the joint production theory,this paper introduces agricultural carbon sink and carbon emission as expected andunexpected output respectively into the agricultural economic analysis framework,and uses the panel data of 31 provincesin China from 2007 to 2020 to measure the carbon sinks and evaluate the spatio-temporal of agricultural production bythe means of the super efficiency SBM,Malmquist-Luenberger(ML)index,Spatial Gravity model.The results show that:1)China's net carbon sinks are all positive,and the agricultural ecological effect is good.2)The production performance ofagriculture in China shows a fluctuating trend which is decrease at the early stage and then increase.Although it is gettingbetter,the growth rate is not obvious and the development form is not optimistic.China's agricultural technology progresshas been innovating continuously,and the growth effect is good.The agricultural technology efficiency growth is stableand the catch-up effect is strong.The low technological progress index represented by Inner Mongolia and Guangxioffsets the catch-up effect brought by the improvement of technical efficiency.In other regions,the growth effect causedby technological progress and the catch-up effect caused by technical efficiency jointly promote.3)The spatialconnection pattern of agricultural production is stable,but restricted by the law of distance attenuation,the spatialconnection between northeastern China and economically developed areas is strong,while the connection between centraland western regions is out of touch.Shanghai,Jiangsu and Zhejiang become new growth poles.4)A large number ofprovinces are in low efficiency and low welfare areas,facing the dual challenges of meeting people's basic developmentneeds and carbon emission limitations.Keywords:low-carbon agricultural;agricultural carbon sink;super efficiency SBM;efficiency evaluation随着温室气体排放量的增加，全球温室效应加PCC第五次评估报告指出，人类活动产生的温室气剧，进而引发气候变化和一系列生态环境问题。体排放是全球变暖的主要原因。中国作为世界人收稿时间：2022-02-23：修回时间：2022-06-29基金项目：湖南省哲学社会科学基金项目(15YBA119、19D21):湖南教育厅科学研究重点项目(18A421,20A138)作者简介：曹执令(1972一)，男，湖南衡阳人，博士，教授，研究方向为应用经济。E-il:15639936@啊com※通讯作者：黄飞(1980一），男.湖南衡阳人.博士.教授.研究方向为应用经济。E-ail:hfog12345@163com(C)1994-2022 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House.All rights reserved.http://www.cnki.net